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Red132
341960.5
12221.0
533822.7
Blue66
11628.6
49493.5
62330.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9244015020013266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.52.2
54.056.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 29.9
623
#9
30.60.9
24.825.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
5338
#14
22.73.0
17.620.6
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 5.9
116
#19
28.60.7
24.625.3
Auto0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
122
#18
21.02.2
16.118.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 17.5
4949
#46
3.50.9
3.44.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.6
End0.0