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Qual 782015 Greater DC Regional
Red16
337312.9
61417.3
36509.4
Blue0
37485.5
394115.4
29649.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3636015253035160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#25
17.31.4
14.8→13.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 1.8
3941
#36
15.41.7
17.9→16.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
3373
#35
12.91.1
13.8→12.8
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 3.5
2964
#40
9.51.7
9.9→8.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
3650
#44
9.41.4
8.5→7.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 4.0
3748
#42
5.51.7
9.2→7.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0