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Red5
55911.6
49535.7
456212.0
Blue11
524320.4
341022.8
8714.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243406080100120140511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4562
#48
12.01.8
9.67.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 10.8
3410
#17
22.81.9
13.211.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
4953
#42
5.71.8
7.65.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 14.7
5243
#14
20.41.9
10.18.2
Auto1.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
5591
#50
1.61.8
9.47.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 12.6
87
#28
14.21.9
10.58.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0