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Red8
519616.2
2114.1
316420.5
Blue18
456212.0
365312.4
547212.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382506080100120140818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#22
20.52.4
14.111.7
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 8.0
5472
#35
12.50.9
8.37.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Second
5196
#34
16.22.4
11.89.4
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
3653
#33
12.40.9
14.113.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
21
#37
14.12.4
11.48.9
Auto1.6
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
4562
#48
12.00.9
5.95.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0