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Red67
459217.4
401318.3
5923.2
Blue80
223426.3
528324.0
49535.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423801001506780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#12
23.22.5
14.717.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 3.0
26.33.3
18.221.5
Auto1.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Second
4013
#21
18.32.5
13.516.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5283
#13
24.03.3
11.915.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Third
4592
#20
17.42.5
15.017.5
Auto0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 11.7
4953
#42
5.73.3
9.813.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0