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Red102
341022.8
565510.4
74446.3
Blue81
223426.3
459217.4
15913.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5851010015010281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#1
46.33.6
39.743.2
Auto0.6
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 20.0
26.32.2
24.226.4
Auto1.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Second
3410
#17
22.83.6
16.820.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 5.4
4592
#20
17.42.2
18.320.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
5655
#44
10.43.6
2.86.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 2.6
159
#40
13.02.2
11.814.1
Auto0.8
Teleop12.1
End0.0