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Red8
10816.5
125116.2
12518.3
Blue40
49535.7
447125.3
365312.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644102080100120140160840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#39
18.34.6
25.921.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 7.0
25.30.5
20.119.6
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
108
#30
16.54.6
18.914.3
Auto0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 4.1
3653
#33
12.40.5
18.217.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
1251
#38
16.24.6
18.313.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 10.4
4953
#42
5.70.5
8.37.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0