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Red166
74455.5
297449.3
411833.5
Blue92
445147.8
152339.3
447129.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310705015020025016692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#3
55.50.6
54.354.9
Auto0.9
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 7.7
47.80.1
47.247.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
49.30.8
47.848.5
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 10.0
39.30.1
38.738.6
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4118
#17
33.50.8
32.032.7
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
4471
#21
29.70.1
29.129.0
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0