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Final 22015 Orlando Regional
Red172
74455.5
297449.3
411833.5
Blue157
445147.8
152339.3
447129.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136106050150200250172157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#3
55.50.6
54.9→55.5
Auto0.9
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 7.7
4451
#4
47.80.7
47.1→47.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
2974
#2
49.30.7
48.5→49.3
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 10.0
1523
#1
39.30.7
38.6→39.3
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4118
#17
33.50.7
32.7→33.5
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
4471
#21
29.70.7
29.0→29.7
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0