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Red7
80120.6
40657.6
187211.3
Blue68
242522.8
297449.3
11624.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30530100150768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#48
20.62.3
19.817.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 28.7
49.31.4
22.724.1
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
1872
#59
11.32.3
5.73.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 13.3
116
#28
24.61.4
16.918.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
4065
#63
7.62.3
9.06.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 15.2
2425
#14
22.81.4
11.312.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0