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Red22
29169.9
519620.7
406412.8
Blue91
138218.3
84630.1
152339.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334802060801001201401602291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5196
#32
20.70.8
17.716.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 18.6
39.32.4
18.220.7
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Second
4064
#52
12.81.2
8.67.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 17.3
846
#24
30.13.6
21.425.0
Auto0.7
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
2916
#55
9.91.2
10.08.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 8.4
1382
#41
18.33.6
7.811.4
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0