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Red48
238337.4
125124.5
56463.1
Blue49
519620.7
45634.9
40657.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52470204060801004849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.3
26.626.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 2.5
456
#8
34.90.0
25.725.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
1251
#22
24.50.3
20.320.0
Auto0.6
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
5196
#32
20.70.0
16.916.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5646
#64
3.10.4
6.46.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4065
#63
7.60.0
6.76.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0