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Red21
575325.1
365913.6
476911.9
Blue59
187635.5
84630.1
80120.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14820501001502159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5753
#19
25.10.4
11.411.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 10.4
1876
#16
35.50.9
32.331.5
Auto0.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
3659
#53
13.60.4
10.410.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 16.5
846
#24
30.11.3
25.023.7
Auto0.7
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
4769
#57
11.90.4
3.53.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 8.7
801
#48
20.61.3
17.516.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0