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Red58
562815.1
362723.0
152339.3
Blue39
279717.1
399816.5
155714.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334501001505839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.4
20.722.1
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 22.2
2797
#44
17.10.5
14.714.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
3627
#26
23.02.3
11.413.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
3998
#46
16.50.5
14.413.9
Auto0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
5628
#38
15.12.3
4.36.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 0.2
1557
#43
14.90.5
15.615.1
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0