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Red17
18021.1
136919.4
419110.5
Blue35
409113.8
365323.4
447129.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384901001501735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#35
21.10.9
18.017.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 8.7
4471
#21
29.70.7
23.022.3
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
1369
#23
19.40.9
11.911.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3653
#10
23.40.7
14.413.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4191
#62
10.51.5
11.19.6
Auto0.4
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4091
#39
13.81.2
11.710.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0