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Red60
528326.7
561617.5
428813.7
Blue104
7917.3
435212.4
242522.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4241305060708010060104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5283
#27
26.70.8
23.524.4
Auto0.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 3.9
2425
#14
22.85.1
12.717.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
5616
#47
17.51.4
7.58.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
79
#42
17.35.1
17.923.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4288
#54
13.71.4
12.113.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 1.3
4352
#61
12.45.1
12.117.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0