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Red14
8627.6
406412.8
355621.3
Blue42
462212.0
106533.3
402411.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345801001502001442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#25
27.61.6
23.722.1
Auto0.0
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 5.8
33.30.4
31.831.4
Auto0.7
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
3556
#31
21.31.6
8.36.7
Auto0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 9.3
4622
#58
12.00.7
13.712.9
Auto0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
4064
#52
12.81.6
7.45.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
4024
#37
11.60.7
11.210.5
Auto0.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0