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Red56
45634.9
138218.3
301113.8
Blue58
572219.6
125124.5
290516.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503502060801001201405658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#8
34.90.6
25.726.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 10.4
1251
#22
24.51.0
20.021.0
Auto0.6
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
1382
#41
18.30.6
16.216.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5722
#29
19.61.6
11.112.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
3011
#56
13.80.6
7.47.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2905
#40
16.01.6
7.69.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0