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Red89
561617.5
152339.3
29169.9
Blue69
514517.0
445147.8
562815.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3856020801001201401608969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.32.3
22.124.4
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
blue by 8.5
47.80.7
36.437.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
5616
#47
17.53.9
8.912.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 0.5
5145
#34
17.01.1
12.213.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
2916
#55
9.93.9
11.615.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5628
#38
15.11.1
6.67.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0