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Red31
409113.8
364631.6
406412.8
Blue22
575325.1
528326.7
94512.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28510204060801001201401603122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.2
16.716.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 5.0
5283
#27
26.71.4
24.423.0
Auto0.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
4091
#39
13.80.2
10.510.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 11.3
5753
#19
25.12.3
11.18.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
4064
#52
12.80.2
5.85.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 0.5
945
#49
12.32.3
14.111.8
Auto0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0