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Red14
447129.7
393210.9
38629.9
Blue18
572219.6
428813.7
40657.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69240501001501418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#18
29.93.1
25.722.6
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 10.4
5722
#29
19.612.2
19.67.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
4471
#21
29.73.1
25.322.2
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 16.0
4288
#54
13.71.2
13.412.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
3932
#51
10.93.1
14.010.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 3.3
4065
#63DQ
7.61.2
10.29.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0