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Red18
575325.1
49019.7
159231.3
Blue64
106533.3
74455.5
562815.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31910501001502001864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#20
31.31.5
29.928.4
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End0.0
blue by 24.2
744
#3
55.51.3
46.345.0
Auto0.9
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
5753
#19
25.118.6
25.16.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 8.2
33.31.3
30.329.0
Auto0.7
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
4901
#50
9.71.6
3.51.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 5.4
5628
#38
15.18.3
15.16.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0