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Red99
411833.5
242522.8
445147.8
Blue61
155714.9
402411.6
187635.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695301001509961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.82.4
37.139.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop48.3
End0.0
red by 12.3
1876
#16
35.50.2
32.232.3
Auto0.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
4118
#17
33.54.0
14.318.2
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 18.6
1557
#43
14.90.3
15.115.4
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
2425
#14
22.84.0
17.821.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 11.2
4024
#37
11.60.3
10.510.8
Auto0.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0