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Red0
164925.6
435212.4
561617.5
Blue60
138218.3
290516.0
190228.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5148020406080100120060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
#12
25.61.7
20.819.1
Auto0.9
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1902
#13
28.00.5
24.324.8
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
5616
#47
17.52.9
12.89.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
1382
#41
18.30.8
16.817.6
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4352
#61
12.42.9
19.216.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2905
#40
16.00.8
9.210.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0