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Red8
301113.8
80120.6
462212.0
Blue35
38629.9
562815.1
2116.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38500100150835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#48
20.62.8
17.014.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 9.4
386
#18
29.90.7
25.324.6
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
3011
#56
13.82.8
7.95.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
21
#33
16.70.7
16.816.1
Auto1.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
4622
#58
12.02.8
16.513.7
Auto0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 3.0
5628
#38
15.11.2
7.76.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0