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Red67
364631.6
94512.3
514517.0
Blue16
393210.9
399816.5
419110.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414002060801006716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.62.1
16.518.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 15.1
3998
#46
16.52.2
16.614.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Second
5145
#34
17.02.1
13.415.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 6.1
3932
#51
10.91.3
12.611.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
945
#49
12.32.1
11.813.9
Auto0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
4191
#62
10.52.2
13.110.9
Auto0.4
Teleop10.1
End0.0