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Red57
125124.5
409113.8
155714.9
Blue13
527610.7
7917.3
84630.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426301001505713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#22
24.50.5
21.021.5
Auto0.6
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 5.6
846
#24
30.13.6
26.322.7
Auto0.7
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
1557
#43
14.90.9
15.416.2
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
79
#42
17.33.6
23.620.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4091
#39
13.80.9
10.311.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
5276
#45
10.73.6
12.38.7
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0