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Red106
297449.3
365913.6
238337.4
Blue122
106533.3
528326.7
447129.7
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6177050100150200106122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.33.4
31.935.3
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 15.9
33.32.2
29.631.9
Auto0.7
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
37.42.0
26.428.5
Auto8.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 7.7
4471
#21
29.72.2
24.426.7
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
3659
#53
13.63.4
7.110.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 13.0
5283
#27
26.72.2
23.025.2
Auto0.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0