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Red64
428813.7
45634.9
242522.8
Blue124
575325.1
215212.9
152339.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603905010015064124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#8
34.90.4
26.326.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
39.34.0
24.428.4
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Second
2425
#14
22.80.4
21.822.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5753
#19
25.16.7
8.815.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
4288
#54
13.70.4
10.611.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
2152
#60
12.94.0
10.114.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0