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Red39
11624.6
290516.0
447129.7
Blue16
406412.8
7917.3
562815.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53270204060801001201403916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4471
#21
29.70.6
26.726.1
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 12.4
79
#42
17.31.3
20.018.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
116
#28
24.61.0
14.013.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 9.6
5628
#38
15.11.3
6.55.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
2905
#40
16.01.0
10.09.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
4064
#52
12.81.3
5.64.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0