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Red23
29169.9
527610.7
56463.1
Blue86
324228.4
364631.6
80120.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2066040801001201401602386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5276
#45
10.70.4
8.78.3
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 20.9
31.62.1
18.620.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
2916
#55
9.90.4
15.515.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 18.6
3242
#30
28.41.3
28.129.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Third
5646
#64
3.10.4
3.43.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 17.4
801
#48
20.62.1
14.216.3
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0