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Red16
402411.6
242522.8
572219.6
Blue74
136919.4
74455.5
94512.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36840501001502001674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2425
#14
22.82.4
22.319.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 32.7
744
#3
55.50.3
51.351.0
Auto0.9
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
5722
#29
19.62.4
11.89.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 0.1
1369
#23
19.40.3
14.414.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Third
4024
#37
11.62.4
10.98.5
Auto0.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 0.7
945
#49
12.30.5
13.913.4
Auto0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0