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Red85
575325.1
365323.4
2116.7
Blue113
11624.6
355621.3
190228.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4752010020030040050085113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5753
#19
25.13.0
15.518.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1902
#13
28.03.0
24.827.8
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
3653
#10
23.41.8
17.619.4
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
116
#28
24.65.0
13.018.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
21
#33
16.71.8
16.117.9
Auto1.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 4.6
3556
#31
21.35.0
15.120.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0