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Qual 702015 Orlando Regional
Red121
575325.1
297449.3
514517.0
Blue98
519620.7
572219.6
10328.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7145010015020012198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#2
49.34.3
36.8→41.1
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 20.5
103
#11
28.82.4
22.5→24.9
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
5753
#19
25.14.3
18.5→22.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
5196
#32
20.72.4
18.8→21.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5145
#34
17.04.3
14.6→18.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
5722
#29
19.63.9
9.4→13.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0