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Red128
527610.7
255631.3
238337.4
Blue60
242522.8
8627.6
301113.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62440208010012014012860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.43.3
30.934.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 9.9
86
#25
27.60.9
20.821.8
Auto0.0
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
31.33.3
22.625.9
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 8.5
2425
#14
22.80.9
19.920.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
5276
#45
10.75.5
8.313.8
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3011
#56
13.80.9
8.19.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0