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Red49
155714.9
84630.1
56463.1
Blue42
355621.3
49019.7
290516.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060801001201404942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#24
30.10.5
27.127.6
Auto0.7
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 8.8
3556
#31
21.30.5
20.120.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
1557
#43
14.90.5
13.113.6
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
2905
#40
16.00.5
9.09.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
5646
#64
3.10.5
3.03.5
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 6.6
4901
#50
9.70.3
7.47.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0