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Red82
187211.3
38629.9
528326.7
Blue116
399816.5
365323.4
411833.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54532040608010082116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#18
29.91.3
22.724.0
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4118
#17
33.55.1
24.129.2
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
5283
#27
26.71.3
27.929.2
Auto0.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
3653
#10
23.43.1
19.422.5
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
1872
#59
11.32.2
5.07.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3998
#46
16.55.1
11.216.3
Auto0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0