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Qual 742015 Orlando Regional
Red53
324228.4
476911.9
190228.0
Blue155
152339.3
447129.7
445147.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59100015020025053155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3242
#30
28.40.7
29.3→28.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 19.4
4451
#4
47.82.9
41.9→44.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
1902
#13
28.00.7
27.8→27.0
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 11.3
1523
#1
39.32.9
29.2→32.1
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4769
#57
11.91.2
10.7→9.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 17.9
4471
#21
29.72.9
26.1→29.0
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0