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Red67
2116.7
402411.6
164925.6
Blue102
428813.7
159231.3
10328.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4268010015020067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
#12
25.61.0
21.622.6
Auto0.9
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1592
#20
31.32.1
29.131.2
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
21
#33
16.71.0
17.918.8
Auto1.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 12.1
103
#11
28.82.1
24.927.0
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
4024
#37
11.61.6
8.510.0
Auto0.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4288
#54
13.73.5
12.516.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0