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Red80
324228.4
562815.1
365913.6
Blue40
411833.5
94512.3
8627.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40670501001502008040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3242
#30
28.41.7
28.630.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 5.0
4118
#17
33.51.5
29.227.7
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
5628
#38
15.12.7
8.711.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 12.5
86
#25
27.61.5
21.820.3
Auto0.0
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
3659
#53
13.62.7
8.110.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 1.4
945
#49
12.31.5
14.513.0
Auto0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0