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Red82
45634.9
365323.4
80120.6
Blue72
316420.9
445147.8
7917.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66870501001502008272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#8
34.90.8
30.531.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 12.9
47.80.1
44.844.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
3653
#10
23.40.5
22.523.0
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 2.6
3164
#36
20.90.1
20.620.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
801
#48
20.60.8
18.619.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 3.3
79
#42
17.30.2
21.120.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0