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Red96
125124.5
152339.3
364631.6
Blue84
159231.3
402411.6
297449.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75800501001502002503003509684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.9
32.132.9
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
blue by 10.0
49.30.1
41.141.2
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
31.61.3
24.325.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 0.4
1592
#20
31.30.1
31.231.3
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Third
1251
#22
24.50.9
22.323.2
Auto0.6
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 12.9
4024
#37
11.60.1
10.010.2
Auto0.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0