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Red84
80120.6
11624.6
562815.1
Blue84
125124.5
435212.4
402411.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5440020801001201408484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#28
24.62.2
22.724.9
Auto0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 0.1
1251
#22
24.52.0
23.225.2
Auto0.6
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
801
#48
20.62.2
19.421.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 8.1
4352
#61
12.42.9
9.912.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
5628
#38
15.12.2
11.413.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
4024
#37
11.62.9
10.213.1
Auto0.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0