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Red124
447129.7
362723.0
364631.6
Blue79
355621.3
561617.5
187211.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions753505010015020012479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.64.2
25.629.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 10.3
3556
#31
21.32.7
20.122.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
4471
#21
29.72.9
26.329.2
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 12.2
5616
#47
17.52.7
14.917.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
3627
#26
23.04.2
19.623.8
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 11.7
1872
#59
11.32.7
7.29.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop11.9
End0.0