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Red113
136919.4
406412.8
411833.5
Blue138
190228.0
8627.6
45634.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45800100150113138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#17
33.54.4
27.732.0
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
456
#8
34.95.2
31.336.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
1369
#23
19.43.0
16.319.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 8.6
1902
#13
28.03.6
26.029.6
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4064
#52
12.84.4
8.512.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 14.8
86
#25
27.65.2
20.325.5
Auto0.0
Teleop27.5
End0.0