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Qual 942015 Orlando Regional
Red123
187635.5
10328.8
238337.4
Blue172
152339.3
409113.8
74455.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92916080100120140160123172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#5
37.41.4
34.2→35.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 18.1
744
#3
55.53.9
52.7→56.6
Auto0.9
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
1876
#16
35.51.4
34.4→35.8
Auto0.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
blue by 3.8
1523
#1
39.33.9
32.9→36.8
Auto0.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
103
#11
28.81.4
27.0→28.3
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 15.0
4091
#39
13.85.6
9.1→14.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0