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Qual 112015 Peachtree Regional
Red44
507416.4
533227.0
470718.2
Blue0
559413.9
56518.8
35738.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47230406080100120140440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5332
#16
27.00.0
23.5→23.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 13.1
5594
#45
13.97.2
13.9→6.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Second
4707
#33
18.20.1
13.0→12.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 9.4
5651
#44
8.82.1
8.8→6.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
Third
5074
#30
16.40.1
8.2→8.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 8.4
3573
#57
8.01.8
10.2→8.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0