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Red20
533616.7
474916.6
29738.8
Blue88
313924.8
126136.7
341020.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17710501001502002088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5336
#28
16.70.5
6.35.8
Auto0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 20.0
36.71.4
32.734.1
Auto0.4
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
4749
#49
16.60.5
15.214.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
3139
#10
24.81.9
12.013.9
Auto0.0
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
2973
#47
8.80.4
4.64.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 11.3
3410
#38
20.11.3
20.722.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0