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Red16
507416.4
241535.1
49245.4
Blue39
139811.5
174631.7
49107.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453802060801001639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
35.11.3
28.226.9
Auto0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 3.3
1746
#17
31.70.1
24.524.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
5074
#30
16.41.9
8.86.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 4.9
1398
#27
11.50.1
9.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4924
#62
5.41.9
8.16.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4910
#53
7.90.1
6.16.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0