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Red83
503413.9
563215.0
402024.5
Blue49
141429.6
341020.1
168317.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255101001508349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#12
24.54.4
18.122.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
29.60.0
9.99.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
5632
#25
15.04.4
7.211.6
Auto0.9
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3410
#38
20.10.0
22.022.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5034
#51
13.94.4
4.48.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 3.2
1683
#32
17.10.0
16.616.6
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0